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Delaware developers weigh inflation against development

Katie Tabeling July 11, 2022

Cement and concrete is up 10% in the last year. Fabricated steel plates, used in bridges and warehouses and airports, are up 23%. PVC pipe alone is up 75% compared to last May. For commercial developers, inflation is now part of the equation when it comes to bidding out projects in the foreseeable future.

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Commercial developers will be turning to innovation to head off rising inflation costs as building construction is underway. | DBT FILE PHOTO[/caption] Cement and concrete is up 10% in the last year. Fabricated steel plates, used in bridges and warehouses and airports, are up 23%. PVC pipe alone is up 75% compared to last May. For commercial developers, inflation is now part of the equation when it comes to bidding out projects in the foreseeable future. “Best case scenario, developers and contractors are realizing this is a very real issue and it’s so common at this point that you’re going to see these guys work together so that contractor can continue their work — and no one comes out on the losing side of this,” Delaware Contractors Association Executive Vice President Byron Short said. “That could be a hard conversation to have.” Inflation isn’t something new to developers have been dealing with. Even before the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted supply chains, Short points to the tariffs on steel, aluminum imports as well as Canadian lumber. Severe storms also struck Texas and Louisiana, shutting down petroleum facilities that made PVC for pipes and fittings. In March 2021, the Suez Canal was blocked for six days which slowed about $9.6 billion in trade goods from reaching shore. Combined with a workforce shortage — including those on the docks to pack and unload ships — all these factors created what Short calls “a perfect storm.” The storm could also be getting worse with sanctions on Russia adding more pressure on the supply chain. But the United States’ economy surged ahead in the last year, buoyed by an unprecedented influx in federal funding for infrastructure and other projects. The construction sector is starting to see a slowdown, as construction job openings exceed hires nationally. About 39,000 job openings are yet to be fulfilled, according to April data from the Association of General Contractors of America (AGC). “Contractors have the work, but they don’t have enough workers or materials to keep pace with strong demand for construction in many parts of the country,” AGC CEO Stephen E. Sandherr, said in a prepared statement. In Delaware, it’s a slightly different story. Roughly 1,100 construction jobs were added between May 2022 and 2021, with the bulk of jobs added in the Wilmington-Camden metropolitan area. The state’s construction employment rose 4.3% between February 2020 and April 2022. “Gov. Carney and his administration deserve a lot of credit because they kept construction open here during the pandemic. He was vigilant [in the first year] on adhering to COVID protocols, and I’d get calls or messages from him about it,” Short said. The Carney administration also distributed $2.1 million out of its newly-created Market Pressure Relief Fund in July 2021, which reimbursed 18 state contractors for rising costs of materials purchased earlier that year. While that may have helped last year, there is some anxiety about how inflation will take a large bite out of public and private projects. The AGC reports that the change in bid prices rose to 19.3% between September 2022 and May 2022. In the $1.4 million capital budget Gov. John Carney signed in late June, there is $25 million in bond funding and $42.8 million set aside for market pressure contingency for school construction projects. For other current infrastructure projects, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) updated cost estimates. Escalated bid results will be benchmarked with national price indexes to monitor construction costs to align with the market, according to an OMB spokesperson. Brian DiSabatino, CEO of EDiS, reports that some commercial projects are seeing 10% annual increases. Despite what could be seen as a high price, he’s hoping that it’s incentivizing clients to make decisions faster than waiting it out. “It could lead to hesitation and paralysis, but we’re suggesting to deploy a sense of urgency to get to the market faster and innovatively. If you’re building a $50 million facility and you wait six months - you could be losing between $1.5 and $3 million by hesitating,” DiSabatino said. “You have to be working more efficiently and innovatively at this point.” When inflation first became a major factor in construction — DiSabatino places it around 1970 — developers were designing a building before construction, which includes the foundations and wall colors. But since then, EDiS heavily invested in building information modeling technology in the last decade, which helps the company visualize and plan its buildings earlier in the process — and now it can aid in spotting inefficiencies in the design and cut down on expensive elements. For example, the firm was able to make changes to the Kennet Library in Kennett Square, Pa. as the building cost continued to ramp up. DiSabatino is optimistic for Delaware’s commercial construction sector while looking at what could be uncertain times ahead. He pointed out that the state and the private sector have a synergy that may not have been totally realized in the past through the Delaware Prosperity Partnership, and both public entities and the private sector still have significant amounts of cash on hand. “The bad news is that raising interest rates will slow down investment and decision making. But the good news is corporations have an unprecedented amount of liquidity on their balance sheets,” he said. “And the public sector has an unprecedented amount of access to capital. Businesses that invest in housing may slow down, but there are several areas of business that will continue chugging along and keep things healthy.”

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